User login

Recent comments

Who's online

There are currently 0 users and 35 guests online.

Who comes here

free counters

elections

Saakashvili responsible for letting Georgia down

Commenting on the Guardian website at the weekend, the former UK Minister for Europe, Denis MacShane MP, called on the UK Prime Minister, David Cameron to “not let down Georgia”. MacShane is quite right that Georgia needs support from the international community to help it rebuild following the conflict with Russia in 2008. However, what he fails to acknowledge is that the person who must take the responsibility for “letting GeorgiaDenis MacShane MP, Licensed under creative commons, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Antidotto down” is Mikheil Saakashvili.

MacShane presents an idealistic view of Georgia, and it is clear that he has been taken in by the propaganda produced by the country’s government  in recent years. Under Saakshvili the progress of democratic reform has been slow and littered with setbacks, rather than the praise that MacShane suggests has come from the international community, financial institutions and NGOs.

In June this year Freedom House confirmed their view that Georgia made no overall progress towards democracy in 2009, lagging behind the post-communist average. The report rates Georgia's electoral processes in 2009 as no better than in 2003 - when electoral fraud led to the ouster of veteran Georgian leader Eduard Shevardnadze. The report added that since the Rose Revolution Georgia's only real improvements have been in corruption and, more marginally, the strength of civil society. In other key categories, such as media freedom and judicial independence the trend has been negative. A detailed report produced by Transparency International, appears to confirm this, stating that:

“Of the reforms that have so far been implemented, many are not of a lasting or systemic character.”

One only has to look to the recent mayoral elections in Tblisi to see that there is much progress still to be made before Georgia becomes a strong democratic nation. In his article MacShane incorrectly labels the mayoral elections “a success”, Europe’s election watchdogs have stated that this was not the case. The OSCE-led International Election Observation Mission (IEOM) said in a report that “significant shortcomings” remained in the electoral process, citing deficiencies in the legal framework, its implementation, an uneven playing field, and isolated cases of Election Day fraud.

The lack of independence in the media further detracted from the legitimacy of the mayoral elections. As stated by European Dialogue, the lack of transparency in the Georgian media, particularly television stations, ensures that the country falls short of European election standards. European Dialogue commented that:

“The Georgian public still do not know who controls and finances the country’s two main TV channels, Rustavi2 and Imedi. One can realistically assume that the Georgian Government is financially backing these and other sources of “information”.”

Mr MacShane was an engaging and influential Minister for Europe, but seems recently to have become something of an apologist for the Georgian government, praising the Deputy Prime Minister, Giorgi Baramidze at a an event in London, and writing this sycophantic article in June. As a member of the Council of Europe, he would be better to spend his time giving a balanced view of events in Georgia, and seeking to hold President Saakashvili to his promises. 

Letter to the IMF shows Saakashvili regime spent $150 million on ensuring Ugulava's victory

The Georgian government's latest official letter to the International Monetary Fund asking for additional financial support shows the regime spent $150 million in April and May on propping up the Georgian Lari ahead of the 30 May elections - only stopping the support once the polls had closed.

The ruling party won the local elections handsomely, with United National Movement mayoral candidate Gigi Ugulava polling 55% in Tbilisi, the centre of most opposition votes.

Once the support was withdrawn the Georgian currency plunged nearly 5% in just a few days, prompting concern abouit inflation and protests about the rising price of goods in the shops. If the devaluation had taken place in the days leading up to the polls it could have affected the results.

The Geogian letter - signed by Prime Minister, Nika Gilauri, the Finance Minister and the Central Bank Governor states:

Seasonal exchange market pressures continued after March. In anticipation that these
pressures would be reversed after the May 30 elections, the NBG increased its intervention in
April-May to USD 150 million. However, the persistence of pressures points to weakness in
FDI inflows in the first half of the year, which has led to a downward revision of projected
FDI inflows for the year. The exchange rate (vis-à-vis the USD) has depreciated by 4.6
percent in the first 9 days of June, and by 10.2 cumulatively since the beginning of the year.
Intervention volumes remained elevated in the first ten days of June because of the need to
stabilize market expectations, but the foreign exchange market has since stabilized.

Council of Europe "concerned" by diminishing media freedom in Georgia

The Council of Europe has said it is concerned by reports of diminished media freedom in Georgia, about the lack of transparency of media ownership and the failure of the national communications regulator to act in an independent and unbiased manner.

The CoE's comments, coming in a report that is generally favourable for the Georgian authorities, again shows that President Saakashvili, who has described reports of attacks on media freedom in Georgia as "total bullshit", is seriously out of kilter with Georgia's western allies on this issue if seen as making progress elsewhere.

The report, though, also insists that the Georgian authorities agree a new electoral code for parliamentary elections - due in 2012 - in good time for the CoE's constitutional watchdog, the Venice Commission, to examine the proposals:

The work of the EWG [Electoral Working Group] is currently suspended until after the local elections. We would like to stress the importance that the EWG should reconvene as soon as possible now that the local elections have been held. As mentioned previously, the current Electoral Code and other laws that govern the elections have seen multiple cycles of amendments to address shortcomings noted during elections. This has led to a significant number of contradictory or ambiguous provisions in the Electoral Code. In addition, the negotiations between the opposition and ruling majority over a new electoral system broke down before the 2008 parliamentary elections, in the polarised and tense political climate at that time. The resulting electoral system that was adopted by the Parliament in the absence of such a consensus is generally regarded as less than beneficial for an optimal pluralism in the Georgian Parliament. A new electoral code therefore needs to be drafted which includes an election system that has the consensus of as many as possible political forces in Georgia. This is a priority task for the EWG that should be finalised well before the next parliamentary elections in 2012. Given the importance of this subject, we firmly hope that all political forces will join this negotiation process in the EWG...

We welcome the series of democratic reforms initiated but would like to stress that such reforms should be developed and implemented in consultation with the opposition and not over their heads, which would defeat their purpose. In that respect, the need for a consensus on a new parliamentary election system, which would also take into account the Venice Commission’s comments, should be stressed.

"Fisking" Denis MacShane on the Georgian elections

Denis MacShane, British Labour MP for Rotherham (pictured), was the UK's minister for Europe in the early part of the last decade and latterly has taken Denis MacShane, licensed under Creative Commons, sa, nc, a: credit Luke Monatgueto defending Mikheil Saakashvili - here we "Fisk" his recent commentary on Georgia's elections.
 
His original in black, our response in red italics.
=======
 
When I turned to the BBC’s World news website on 30 May, expecting to see how the local elections in Georgia were progressing, it was with some trepidation.
 
Tbilisi held its first ever direct elections to the post of Mayor of Tbilisi – one of President Saakashvili’s key democratic reforms – as well as regular local municipal polls.
 
In fact Saakashvili promised direct elections to mayors in all Georgia's major cities - then reneged on the promise. More than that, his party fixed the voting system to ensure that his party would win even if it got less than a majority.
 
It was the first test of national support for the much-criticised Saakashvili since the war of August 2008; but, more importantly, it was a test for democracy in an ex-Soviet state, which is rightly looking to be a Western democracy.
 
There was nothing on the website, it was not news – at least not in the UK. In a way it was a good thing that the Tbilisi elections did not make news: it was a sign that things were running smoothly and without scandal. But I also believe it is a shame, because these albeit local elections have much bigger significance for emerging democracies in Europe and around the world.
 
Good news is often “not news”. Even the pro-Moscow Russia Today could not find a derogatory word to say about the Tbilisi poll.
 
The fact that any poll, any where in the world, is not attacked by the propaganda television station of a rotten regime hardly constitutes evidence of their success.
 
On Monday a report by the OSCE democracy watchdog mission reported that Georgia had made “evident progress” in this year’s elections. As Dame Audrey Glover, the head of the mission, said: “These elections were marked by clear improvements and efforts by the authorities to address problems occurring during the process”. And the EU parliamentary delegation said the vote represented a “real step toward the democratic development of the country”.
 
The opposition parties in Georgia did not dispute the veracity of the vote and, yes, there were some minor “shortcomings” and allegations in one or two electoral districts. What election around the world doesn’t have them?
 
These are not the words of a dispassionate observer, but of a propagandist for the Georgian regime. When was the last time opposition candidates in Rotherham were dragged at gun point to the police station and forced to sign away their candidacies, Dr MacShane?
 
The key thing was that Europe declared the Georgia elections “free and fair” and that progress had been made.
 
The important point is that Saakashvili has clearly listened and learned from the criticisms of previous elections since he came to power in the Rose Revolution of 2003.
 
In fact abuse after abuse of electoral process and state resources has been reported. The fact this election was not as bent as all previous polls is scant cause for celebration. Shouldn't professed democrats like Dr MacShane be putting more pressure on the Georgian regime to clean their act up instead of congratulating them on marginal improvements?
 
Over the past year, Tbilisi has instigated a serious democratic and electoral reform process, including modernising the electoral code, increasing state funding for opposition parties, appointing an inter-agency task force on free and fair elections, engaging and recruiting more election observers, holding the first ever TV debate (as the UK has only just done) and setting up a parliamentary channel based on C-Span and BBC Parliament.
 
  • Modernising the electoral code: in fact the ruling party just pushed through their own proposals when they could not get their way in the working group that was discussing this.
  • Interagency task force: Nothing new and as in past elections this existed to offer excuses for the authorities' abuses
  • Increasing funding for opposition parties: There was a small amount of money made available for the opposition parties to check the electoral lists, not for campaigning. In the campaign the UNM out spent all the other parties put together by well over nine to one.
  • First ever TV debate: in fact this had nothing to do with the authorities and, while a step forward, was broadcast at a time that was sure to ensure a relatively small audience
  • A parliament channel like BBC Parliament: With an audience to match! We doubt Dr MacShane thinks BBC parliament is a vital contribution to UK democracy, why does he think a channel with a micro audience is any different in Georgia?
 
In all these reforms the government has involved the opposition parties and NGOs by inviting them in for consultation; but also appointing opposition figures to key bodies involved in the reform process.
 
The UNM walked out of talks on the electoral code when it could not win a majority on the working group. The president refused to even nominate the candidate for chair of the electoral commission with the broadest range of support in Georgian society and instead ensure the election a ruling party client.
 
People have been trying to claim that the “colour revolutions” of the ex Soviet Union are dead, just because in Ukraine five years after the Orange Revolution its hero President Viktor Yushchenko was ousted for the pro-Moscow Viktor Yanukovych.
 
Actually Yuschenko lost an election that most would rate as freer than any ever held in Georgia.
 
In the elections on Sunday 30 May the governing party of Saakashvili scored a resounding victory with 55% of the vote for mayoral candidate Gigi Ugulava.  Leading opposition candidate Irakli Alasania gained 20%.
 
Saakashvili cannot seek a third term under the constitution, so will not be contesting the next presidential elections due in 2013; but his National Movement party, which led the Rose Revolution, is still clearly by far the most popular cause in Georgia seven years later and in spite of some domestic criticism of his handling of the 2008 war.
 
Dr MacShane, supposedly a social democrat, seems politically adrift with his so anxiety to offer support to what is arguably the most right wing government in Europe - so far on the right its economic policies have been condemned by the European Commission as being incompatible with EU membership.
 
In a previous life Dr MacShane was a trade union official but today, in his celebration of the UNM's popularity, he appears to have forgotten that Georgia effectively has no employment protection legislation at all.
 
But, while the Rose Revolution is obviously alive and well in Georgia, this is not a time for triumphalism in Tbilisi. One cause for concern from the recent elections is the lack of a strong and focused opposition in the country. Saakashvili has done a lot to ensure a level playing-field, but one thing he cannot do is make the fragmented opposition more popular. That must come through people like Alasania – the most credible candidate to the West – continuing to talk about policy, not personalities. He made some welcome suggestions to reform health care during the mayoral campaign and was magnanimous in defeat, declaring the elections “valid”, adding: “Tbilisi has made its choice”.
 
Saakashvili has done nothing to ensure a "level playing field". In March he even got his cronies at the Imedi TV station to broadcast a fake news bulletin in which just about every opposition leader - including Irakli Alasania - was smeared as a would-be Russian stooge. His government funds pro-government TV in a corrupt manner, his friends seek to starve any critical voice of advertising and his party is rolling in money while otrher parties have their fuding sources and even their printers threatened by the state.
 
Alasania also said that the ruling clique had a "criminal mentality".
 
Last year’s street demonstrations in the capital, calling for the resignation of the president, failed. Then there were no other policies amongst the nine or so divided opposition parties. That is thankfully starting to change.
 
Georgia has always had a tradition of going to the street to get political change – that worked once under previous oppressive conditions – but now the opposition must focus on making their case in parliament, not on the streets. Some of the opposition politicians who have refused to take their seats in the parliament are starting to realise this. And that is welcome.
 
Parliament is the appropriate and most effective, grown-up forum for change in a mature democracy. Britain's new prime minister, David Cameron, and US vice president Joe Biden bravely flew to Georgia in August 2008 to stand shoulder to shoulder with the Georgian people as Russia launched its land, sea and air assault on this tiny nation. Moscow now feels it has won back Ukraine and it slowly regaining influence and control of the energy-rich Stans. Russia wants to close down the OSCE as a forum for democracy, human rights and election monitoring. Georgia's sturdy independence and progress towards European democratic norms remains an obstacle to Russia once again becoming master over the former nations of Soviet and Tsarist imperialism.
 
We wonder if Dr MacShane was praising David Cameron's bravery in the recent UK election campaign?
 
Just about every credible organisation says that freedom of expression has diminished in Georgia since the Rose Revolution. True friends of Georgia do let the president of the country get away with calling this "total bullshit" or pretend that the choice is between Saakashvili's brand of authoritarianism and Putin's.
 
This election is a reminder that London, Washington and Brussels should not forget Georgia, even while all the reset buttons are pressed in the hope that the Kremlin is ready to lessen its zero-sum approach to foreign policy.

 

Georgian democracy is not a zero sum game either, Dr MacShane. It's not a choice between Saakashvili and chaos - no matter how much the regime in Tbilis want to suggest it is.

Observers might think the 30 May election was "free" but it was in no way "fair"

Details of the four biggest party groupings' spending on the 30 May elections are now available.

Spending in 2010 local elections (1.85 GEL/$) - figures to nearest 000
Party Spending Spending per vote Votes won Proportion of total spending
United National Movement $7,568,000 $6.31 1200000 92.7%
Christian Democratic Movement $378,000 $1.86 203000 4.6%
Alliance for Georgia $74,000 $0.47 157000 0.9%
National Council $141,000 $1.23 115000 1.7%

 

It rather makes a mockery of any claim to have conducted a fair election when the leading party can outspend challengers by 100 to 1.

The biggest question of all remains: how does a party in a small and poor country like Georgia raise enough money for a municipal election to be able outspend major party candidates for the post of president of the United States without resorting to corruption or intimidation?